Monday, November 12th, 2012

What Do We Really Vote For?

Four years ago – on Election Day in the United States, November 8, 2008 – Twitter was elated when the company saw a total of 1.8 million tweets related to the event of the day.

Fast-forward four years:

The first so-called US Presidential Debate 2012 – between Obama and Romney – showed 10 million Tweets during the 90-minute broadcast.

And, in what is a commentary of some sort – you judge what kind – finally something/someone broke Justin Bieber’s Tweet record to create the most shared image (to date) in social media ever…until the next one.

Lest you stop reading – no, this isn’t yet another analysis of the US election or the effect of social media on such events – although I will use both as references.

I am more interested in what drove people to vote as they did, what really influenced them and, at the end of the day, what really drives us all.

Because if it’s only a Twitter feed – humankind is in deep….

In fact, I don’t even think that voting itself is a measure of much either – I have written about this before – remember Hitler was elected in an open democratic election, and in today’s world I can go on and on.

What is important – in fact, in my opinion, the only important factor and the one that becomes the biggest benefit of what I have dubbed Digital Exponential – is the overwhelmingly powerful effect that offline, primal/DNA human behavior has on the world when combined with the enhanced sharing power of digital – it makes us all superheroes, gives us all special power; if we had masks and capes they’d make a movie…

So the question becomes, what is it that people in the United States voted for or against – as the case may be?  Or to broaden the analogy to another so-called high bar in social moments –what drove the people in Tahrir Square those few years ago – when their hopes and the hopes of the world were so high?

And if you think it was Twitter or Facebook or “Likes” or tweets – you are not even close – in my opinion.

Simply put, it was values. Values – a concept as old as we are – and a struggle that is equally old.  And, of course, values beg the question of universality – are there values that connect us as people?  Are values strictly local, and your values and mine will never align?  Is there a standard of values that link us more than they divide us?

I have always believed the answer is yes, and have written about it before.  I will let you decide if you think that global values exist – in what I call Generation World.

So while I can write pages and pages about tweets and re-tweets, Facebook pages and “Likes” and “Dislikes,” the amount of money spent in local TV broadcasts (imagine that) and the incredibly obscene amount of money spent in general – I will let you explore those on your own.

Instead I will share with you what I consider to my proof point – the words of Joel Benenson – Obama’s lead pollster:

  • “The president’s victory was a triumph of vision, not of demographics” – this from the guy reading the audience and helping to set the strategy.
  • “That is why, despite the credit given to Mr. Romney for ‘understanding’ the economy…Mr. Obama was always significantly more trusted on qualities that matter to working Americans” – technical doesn’t count as much as values.
  • “Americans made a choice to side with a set of values and principles” – in other words, not spreadsheets.

Bottom line – as you look around the world, ask yourselves – what is driving people…really? What makes us align or oppose?  Are there core values that unite us or is it really all local, and my values might be so abhorrent to you that you would kill me (and maybe yourself) to stop them?  PS:  If you die for them or kill for them are they really values?

Time Magazine, in covering the Egyptian revolution – an event that was used by analysts to drive the value of social media companies one year ago – wrote:

“Technology mattered, but this was not a technological revolution. Social networks did not cause these movements, but they kept them alive and connected. Technology allowed us to watch, and it spread the virus of protest, but this was not a wired revolution; it was a human one, of hearts and minds, the oldest technology of all.”

So the onus is on us – the challenge is ours.  Listen:

“Your beliefs become your thoughts,

Your thoughts become your words,

Your words become your actions,

Your actions become your habits,

Your habits become your values,

Your values become your destiny.”

Mahatma Gandhi

So is our destiny merely tweeting?  You tell me….

What do you think?

PS – some good reading on the election:

Rob Norman: The Morning After
CNN: Why Romney Lost
Time Magazine: How Chicago’s Data-Driven Campaign Triumphed
Financial Times: US Election Offers Advertising Lessons
CNN: The Billion Dollar Election: Who Got Paid?

 

 

Monday, November 5th, 2012

Did I Really Believe It?

Did I really believe it?

Did I really believe that a hurricane would actually wreak havoc in my city – New York?

How could it?  It was a Force One – not even, in fact, when it hit. New Orleans was hit by a Force Three when Katrina took that city out – but after all, this is New York….

Despite all the warnings, all the charts, all the predictions, all the meteorological models – did I really, really believe it – or did I have a small suspicion, tickling at the back of my mind, that this was all a media hype – not unlike what we saw during the Republican National Convention in Florida, or even in New York, last year, when Hurricane Irene hit us with a bit of a whimper – and was forgotten (except, I am pained to say, by the few who really sustained loss).

And I am ready to bet that many of my neighbors and friends and fellow New Yorkers felt the same.  In fact, I’m sure you’ve seen the reports and postings – for example, a guy on a Jet Ski riding up and down the Hudson River who made it clear to local reporters that he didn’t believe a real storm was coming. He also had a camera attached to his head – no doubt this footage will surface commercially somewhere if it hasn’t already.

Then there were people who refused evacuation, despite the warnings, and despite pleas that if there were a disaster, first responders would be diverted from other emergencies to save those who could have kept themselves from harm (the Governor of New Jersey was pretty harsh in his assessment of those folks who needlessly put others in harm’s way).

In another weird twist, a drama likely played out many times in the past came to a sad end as the replica of the HMS Bounty sank in the storm…two lives were lost and many question, why? Not to mention the selfless Coast Guard who had to risk their own lives….

And, of course, the sad fact is that it hit and it hit bad. In fact, if anything, the waters came up higher, the damage was greater and the loss of life was more than anything anyone had predicted.

The devastation is horrific. No power, no water, no heat, no food, no gas. The Army is protecting many areas and patrolling the gas stations – normally places we pull in and out of – today dangerous locales where fights are breaking out and violence has become commonplace as people battle for a tankful.

Over the past couple of years, we have helped our friends in Japan, New Zealand and Thailand – as they stoically and heroically recovered from tsunami, earthquake and floods. Yet no matter how much we helped – we were spectators, mere observers.  Today we are participants – actors on the main stage as this catastrophe plays out in all its acts.

And as participants, one can only hope that we approach our recovery with the grace, courage and fortitude that our compatriots did around the world.

I have written a number of times about what happens when technology fails us – when our reliance on the “magic” of today lets us down.  Now – New York had no elaborate system of walls or levees like Japan or New Orleans – and today we can place our own tsunami stones – but we all know that no one will really listen and that the next storm will make them obsolete. We had no special reliance on technology to protect us – but it turns out that we had overreliance on technology to connect us.

By that I mean – we have become so wired, so plugged in, so “social centric” that many young people were left in a state of helplessness when they didn’t know where to turn for news and information as they lost power, and their computers and smartphones and various mobile devices drained and died and their Internet signals faded away.

They forgot about another “cloud” communication – radio – and that hand-crank emergency radios (sold all over by the way) were a great way – in fact, for many the only way – to get news.

Residents of the West Village in lower Manhattan, a normally 24/7 vibrant center of activity, told me about the B-movie atmosphere – a real zombie venue – where people dejectedly walked the streets, grabbing strangers and pleading for news.

On the other hand, those of us with power – and I almost guiltily tell you that we were un-affected (though our daughter, son-in-law and grandchildren had no power and are now living in our apartment) – had multiple screens going for updates, watched videos and were annoyed when the VOD channel flickered.  So it goes – but even then we had no real idea – in fact, I even went out to take pictures.

And like many other New Yorkers, I found the attempt of some retailers to tie the storm to their interests to be in very poor taste. Even for those of us who still had power, this was not the connection we were looking for.

Seems to me, though, the real lesson is about connectivity – person to person; about what drives our lives as people and community; about what makes us feel secure and comfortable.

As we lost power, as we lost the Internet – some people panicked. And the magic happened – to many – listen to the words of two young women from Asia who are in New York for the first time, working on assignment and got caught in the power outages:

Woes of being a millennial

Gusts of wind slipped through my window, while I scurried to get my electronics charged. I anxiously awaited the devastation that Sandy was about to bring forth to the NYC region.

And then the Wi-Fi got cut off.

My one and only means of communication with people back home in Singapore, or anyone at all, was taken away from me. It was almost as though I was crippled indirectly by the storm, though I was very much safe and sound in the four walls of my sanctuary.

Born in 1993, I was born into the world of technology. Though premature back then, I felt technology and myself taking baby steps towards growth and maturity together. In short, I grew up with technology – and technology grew up with me.

I’m a millennial. I’m a product of Generation Z, the ones who grew up with the Internet.

I was born native to the era of social networking and high-speed broadband. I was the first in my household of four to learn how to text. I taught my brother how to text, my mother to Skype and created a Facebook page for my dad.

Everything is instant, and I never have to wait, except three minutes for my instant noodles to be ready. Even then, I still wish someone would invent instant food that would magically heat itself up upon ripping open the package.

Knowing that the Internet enables me to stay connected, desensitized me to being alone in a foreign country. It gave me a connection…even in isolation.

But there I was. Alone. On my own. In the dark. When the power went off.

Absolute darkness, absolute solitude. Stripped bare, and forced to feel the full impact of being.

I worry about my generation’s overdependence on technology. I worry that technology is robbing us of the essence being a person, engulfing us in the mad whirlpool of information, and the superficiality of artificial intelligence.

Tania Victoria Neubronner

And:

Loss of connection, loss of disconnection?

After spending 48 hours on Roosevelt Island without power, I felt that the loss of social media indeed connected people better.

“You may lose all the power within an hour because of the Hurricane Sandy,” a public safety staff member notified me and my flatmates.

A little later, all the lights were off. My three flatmates and I, face to face, sat together in the dark. We started chatting.

I couldn’t remember the last time when I had such a delightful conversation with someone without the interruption of social media. I asked myself whether what connects us disconnects interpersonal communication in terms of ruining consistent perception. We might have a peek at someone’s life from Facebook or Twitter. We could also send greetings to someone via online messages. It appears that everyone is closely connected digitally regardless of the space and time. However, when we have more access to the online profiles, we have less interest in face-to-face communication. Our perception of information is fragmented by disparate messages on social media. It’s becoming difficult for us to concentrate on a single topic. The torrents of texts and images disturb us from selectively reading information rationally. A person we know is the person living electronically instead of in the reality. The connective social media disconnect us from genuine human communication.

Connie Fang

Frankly – here is the lesson and here is the future.

As we struggle to make sense of it all – as the politicians and planners agonize over the billions of dollars that might be spent – beyond the clean-up – to protect us from the next one (and it won’t), maybe we should take a step back and look at the human piece – how do we make sure that we know how to connect, how to share, how to know – when all that’s left is us….

Listen:

“Humankind has not woven the web of life. We are but one thread within it. Whatever we do to the web, we do to ourselves. All things are bound together. All things connect.”
Chief Seattle

We have not created the web…it was there way before we called it digital…before we “discovered” mobile…before we created social networks….HMMMMMMMM.

What do you think?

 

 

 

Monday, October 29th, 2012

We All Need Inspiration

I need inspiration – stories that excite my imagination, give me hope for the future and make clear just what we can accomplish when we set our minds to it.

Murder; terrorism; despotism; huge storms; the vagaries of the stock market; the latest, newest and greatest occupy our minds – and our searches – they are what trend – the 15 second or 15 gig (as my friend Bob Greenberg says) syndrome. And, frankly, they depress me.

Last week I wrote about short-term thinking and the effect on innovation, on people and on motivation because of the vagaries of financial markets whose rewards are based on that system.

This week, as I compiled my notes, I was struck by the trending global search info – Monster Storm bearing down on the US; iPad Mini; Windows 8 and Surface launch; Morgan Freeman – yes! But frankly I found nothing that inspired me – nothing that I really wanted to share – nothing that I hoped would make a point different than what you might have been reading or following or viewing.

Then I saw it and felt redeemed. No doubt you will be puzzled – why this story fueled my dreams; why this story fed my mind; why this story felt redeeming.

So here goes…

It’s the story of the SpaceX Dragon capsule that has completed its first scheduled (of 12) mission at the International Space Station (ISS) and will be returning to Earth starting Sunday – an event that can be watched on NASA TV – and is as exciting as a new James Bond movie.

So you are shaking your head – people are getting killed; people are starving; there is injustice and despotism – and this is what inspires you? Have you lost it????

Frankly – I’m tired of the elections in the US and all the discussion of online targeting and re-targeting when the bulk of the money – ungodly sums in fact are being spent on broadcast – and by broadcast I mean across all channels; I’m tired of the latest app being hailed as the next greatest thing only to go from hero to zero in weeks or days; I’m tired of endless discussion about technology that is really not technology at all – in fact, I had a discussion with an analyst recently who told me that Amazon Prime was the most innovative part of Amazon – check it out – best practice of catalog companies since Sears in the 1800s…

So bottom line – I was looking for something real – not another Internet monetization scheme; not the next and only way ever to connect with a friend, or meet someone or buy something. What I wanted was something that would make me look beyond admiration for a business plan and a huge valuation; something that would induce discussion beyond the usual do you think it’s overpriced or undervalued – something that would cause me to look up and out – daydream a bit and wonder about the possibilities and the future.

And there you have it – The SpaceX Dragon – private enterprise at its best. Tackling the “final frontier” – proving that space is an option and that governments do not need to be in control…

I looked up and out – literally as this turns out … and my imagination runs wild to the Asimov and Heinlein of my youth (confession – I still read them) and I must say – at least for me the change from the debate on the viability of Zynga as the gamification change platform of all time is not just refreshing – it’s downright spiritual.

Listen:

“Imagination is everything. It is the preview of life’s coming attractions.” Albert Einstein

Einstein wrote a lot about imagination – he believed in it – it was a part of his “religion” of thinking – it drove his thinking.

And to him – imagination wasn’t the next release of Angry Birds (don’t get me wrong, I love it) but where we were going in the cosmos.

So if you are like me – if you accept as a given where the world is today – meaning that there is no debate about what is digital or not; meaning that yes you love tablets and want to consume and create; meaning that you watch “content” on big screens, little screens and in-between screens; meaning that you want more to hang your dreams on – find your own SpaceX…

And when you find it – share it! We all need the need inspiration…at least I do…

What do you think?