Archive for February, 2013

Monday, February 25th, 2013

The Oscars – Social Heritage

Did you watch the live broadcast, through any source, of the Academy Awards, known more popularly as the Oscars?

Did you watch it time delayed – depending on where you live? Or perhaps just follow it through various postings across a host of channels? Or maybe even just discuss it with a friend to share a “Like,” or an agreement or disagreement with the judges’ choice, or perhaps just to register your desire to see one of the selected movies or one of those not?

Chances are – if you live in Los Angeles, New York, Chicago or London – you might have…this at least according to Google Trends, which pre-Oscar showed a “zero” search trend just about everywhere else (to be fair – Texas and Florida showed a small interest…), and post-show seems the same.

Yet, the night is being touted as the be all and end all of the movie industry – Hollywood’s biggest night – global entertainment’s number one event. The producers claim an audience of 1 billion viewers aggregated — across all channels. Nielsen will no doubt beg to differ, as early numbers show growth of the TV audience to be flat, which would make the hurdle to an audience that large, highly unlikely – but I’m ready to bet it’s big…

Let me be even more cynical and share with you the fact that the aging or should I say graying (makes me feel better) live audience has over the past ten years aged twelve! And according to the Nielsen Ratings, the overall audience has dropped as many as 10 million viewers over the past ten years – although it has clawed back up a bit and is expected to do the same this year as well.

All in all – an event whose time has come? An anachronism? A relic of a past age? Or is something else happening here?

Let me begin with a favorite topic – follow the content: Great movies going in, the right hosts and show material and guess what – more people watch, stay tuned in and talk about it positively.  And more – given the right hosts and material, the audience expands – Generation World – younger people come in without alienating the older.

No magic – no digital bounce yet – simple – make it interesting and they will come.

Now – let’s look for the bounce!

So here is the sad truth – I wanted to know, in aggregate, how many people interact with the Oscars. I searched and searched some more – and then yet again – across every engine – through every permutation – and the only information I could find on audience size was from Nielsen; or was the billion number dropped by Seth MacFarlane, the host.

It’s as if we had entered a time warp and were back at the original ceremony where the audience was measured by the 270 people in the Blossom Room of the Hollywood Roosevelt Hotel.

The winner for Best Picture was Wings (a silent movie), which also won for Best Engineering – watch it – it’s worth it.

I might also point out that in our age of always on – anywhere – everywhere – instantaneous connections, the first Oscar was awarded in 1929, only two years after the first transatlantic telephone call was made from New York City to London. Transatlantic calls cost $75 per three minutes.

So here is my question.

Are we fooling ourselves?

Do we (me very much included) ascribe more to our digital connectivity than maybe is true?

More to the point – do we just make sweeping assumptions and bombastic predictions because we ourselves with our smartphones, tablets, pads, networks and latest greatest apps just happen to see the world through our own digital eyes – and miss the bulk of the world – who are not connected in the same way. And to whom the luxury of tweeting or posting about our current mode, bad service at a restaurant or latest status is as alien as Mars.

Or maybe we are not so isolated and the deepest truth is that we are all connected; there are many shared values – Generation World is in fact a growing phenomenon.

To begin with, we need more information – the best movies from anywhere make money everywhere else – meaning that global movie sales are what drive fame and fortune – no matter what the home market for the movie is.

For example, Avatar made 70% of its close to $3 billion outside the US. Same for Titanic – and the list goes on.

Second, I continued my searching and discovered this fact – the most recent Oscars were seen in more than 225 territories internationally via traditional broadcast, VOD and online streaming – this according to Disney and the deals they have cut around the world. Clearly a larger audience than the one measured by Nielsen….

Finally I thought I’d share a comment recently made by the singer Adele, who performed her Academy Award-winning theme for the latest James Bond 007 movie Skyfall at the Oscars.

Asked at the Grammys earlier this month how she felt about the prospect of singing to Hollywood’s finest, and hundreds of millions watching live around the world, she answered, with characteristic frankness: “I’m shitting myself.

And there you have it – proof of the globality of the event and its huge and interconnected, engaged audience.

Bottom line – the world has come a long way since the first movie was made – since the first talkie – since the first color version – even since digital production was first introduced.

We are still in our digital infancy – flailing around – picking up everything and throwing it away just as quickly – but every day brings new understanding, new engagement, new learning and amazements.

We are like parent and child in one – we watch ourselves, amazed at what we can do, and marvel at what we learn. Yet we have no guide to lead us, so our missteps are probably more frequent and our recovery longer.

We have a lot to figure out and there is more thrown at us every day – which is why I rail against the analysts and pundits who speak in the absolute, who deem it necessary to forget anything that has ever happened before, who need to tout everything as the latest and greatest in order to monetize, and who in general – in my opinion – are actually holding us back from the full potential of what we can achieve in this world.

Nielsen aside – people engaged with the Oscars through more human ways than we can count – and more importantly, the influence of the movie content represented has a great impact on shared culture, shared discussion and shared values –

As I said – we are just at the beginning – to look back at 1929 and say that 270 people in a closed room in Hollywood had no impact on the world is sheer nonsense – ergo, to suggest that in today’s always on/interconnected world it has no impact is equally wrong.

Let me end with a thought from one of the best…a movie that won three Academy Awards (Oscars) including Best Picture, and is in most, if not all lists of the top 100 movies ever made – Casablanca:

[Last line, as Rick and Captain Louis Renault walk off.]

Rick: Louis, I think this is the beginning of a beautiful friendship.

We are at the beginning of a beautiful friendship, and like all friendships it needs to be nurtured, grown, cherished…the future is yet to be written – let’s not write it out before it happens….

Final thought – whether you watched it or not – whether you tweeted, posted or merely mentioned it – I will bet that you will see at least one of the winners – and watch other movies from your own country and others – and therein is that beautiful friendship between us and content and the power of the digital world….

What do you think?

Monday, February 18th, 2013

The Rock Is Gonna Fall On Us

The Sky is falling…The Sky is falling…

Move over you investors in Social whatever…the next big thing is coming…maybe even here…

So get your faces out of your smartphones – look up and get ready to monetize the heavens.

7,000 tons of space rock crashed down in Russia and suddenly Bruce Willis is in great demand…not really but fits my story line…but if you don’t recognize my pseudo cultural reference check this out…and see the movie…

Now – I don’t know about you – but I have been obsessed with the story.

First of all…thankfully…no one was killed…but to give this some perspective the force of the explosion was equal to 500 kilotons of TNT – when put into nuclear blast language Hiroshima and Nagasaki were destroyed by bombs with a 13-22 kiloton force – 500 – depending on where and how it landed would be devastating.

Read the story – it is the stuff of movies – flash of light – sonic booms – shattering glass – light pouring through the windows of a Church in mid-service – all it needed was Bruce – but this was real life.

And…of course…to quote Edward Lu, once an astronaut and now a Google Executive: “Wouldn’t it be silly if we got wiped out because we weren’t looking?” and – surprise – “a group of young Silicon Valley entrepreneurs who helped build thriving companies like eBay, Google and Facebook has already put millions of dollars into the effort and saw Friday’s shock wave as a turning point in raising hundreds of millions more.”

Let me be crystal clear – I am not making fun – to the contrary – in fact I am amazed that the story hasn’t trended; that there seems to be little serious interest in it and that after tomorrow it will be mostly forgotten.

Interestingly only a few months ago a group of scientists took it upon themselves to debunk the “science” behind Armageddon – the Bruce Willis movie – and they concluded that it was all bunk – Bruce could not have saved us.

Now – I don’t know how that makes you feel – but after the Russian story I’d be more impressed to know how they would save the world…

Seriously – I am not writing this to be apocalyptic or suggest survivalist activities – au contraire — I am seriously suggesting that we start looking up and around and realize that there is more going on in our world than how to monetize social activities or whether or not a disappearing photo will replace Facebook…COME ON!!!

What we call technology is simple application of technology applied to evolutionary human behavior. There are people out there trying to cure disease; end hunger and save us from the dangers of the universe – and therein maybe resides our human quest – our raison d’etre– make the world a better place to live…longer – Yes, I know we can use Twitter to do all those things…and no doubt make better latte too…

So there you have it – a real story – a real tragedy averted – and real people trying to figure out how to avoid the fate of our Dino predecessors…

So to those scientists who doubted my hero Bruce – I refer them to another hero of mine:

“The only way to discover the limits of the possible is to go beyond them into the impossible.”
Arthur C. Clarke

So who knows…

And for those of you who don’t believe any of this:

“Look for the stars, you’ll say that there are none; Look up a second time, and, one by one, You mark them twinkling out with silvery light, And wonder how they could elude the sight!”
William Wordsworth

And finally a thought from one of my favorites: See here.

Sadly – one final thought – it’s easy to see how jaded we can get – a story of “scores” killed in a market in Pakistan barely registers…so it goes…

What do you think?

 

  • what if? What if we could have stopped the rock - or at least slowed it down enough to allow it to orbit instead of crash? with enough preparation maybe we could have salvaged it... what was on it? in it? what is it made out of? Deep space exploration is extremely costly, but what if we just put something heavy enough ...
Monday, February 11th, 2013

When Numbers Speak Only of Numbers

34-31

4-1

Numbers. Meaningless on their own.

Yet both sets – when put in the proper context – elicit passion, desire, rage, hope, belief and more…the full and deep range of human emotion.

Therefore, if I tell you that 34 to 31 refers to the final score of this year’s Super Bowl – the annual US Football Championship gladiator blowout – between the Baltimore Ravens (34) and the San Francisco 49ers (31) – the story behind the numbers starts to bubble…wild swings in quarterly scoring, electrical blackout, Beyoncé and half time, a struggle between brothers – the numerals start to live….

4 to 1 refers to the recent match between Real Madrid and Sevilla in the more global game of football (soccer in the US) where Cristiano Ronaldo – one of the world’s best players – scored his 20th (I believe) hat trick (that is, scoring 3 goals in one game) – and clearly is now poised for World Cup play. Again numbers become living entities and in this case, even take on a seer-like presence as the story they tell unfolds.

Bottom line…with stories, meaningless digits take on deep meaning and sets and sequences of figures come alive.

As Rav Yair (who inspired this and thanks Will) said – it’s never about the numbers – it’s always about the story.

Try this one:

5 stars

3 stars

2.5 stars

Depending on the context – the story – this could be anything – but sometimes even the context isn’t enough.

For example, here I am referring to hotel ratings – stars – in and of themselves there is a context – a level of quality (sort of) agreed to by the hotel industry around the world.  However – we all know that the swings of what they really mean are erratic at best – and without the full story behind the ratings – the right recommendations from people you trust who have been and are in the know – disappointment and often anger are fairly common in the sector.

In fact I will go deeper on this one – using the ratings alone in a computer auction environment like Hotwire – is akin to gambling.  You know the ratings are “guidelines”; you know their choice sucks – and worse, there is poor customer service to solve your dilemma – so not only isn’t the story of the hotel there – neither is there a story around service and customer support….

A number of weeks ago I wrote about the US elections and the mistake of thinking that somehow “Big Data” won the day.  In fact all sides used similar tools – it was in how they used them – the stories they created and told with them, the difference they made with them – that won the day….

Joel Benenson said it best in his New York Times piece after the election:

“The president’s victory was a triumph of vision, not of demographics. He won because he articulated a set of values that define an America that the majority of us wish to live in…”

Brands are created in the same way – it’s the stories behind them and around them that make us buy them – not the retargeting – and it amazes me that some still don’t get it.

Don’t get me wrong – numbers are powerful entities – understanding them, controlling them, manipulating them can teach us a lot and give us an edge – but in the end, without the stories in front, behind and on the sides, they simply remain numbers.

Patrick Rothfuss, in The Wise Man’s Fear, wrote:  “I am no poet. I do not love words for the sake of words. I love words for what they can accomplish. Similarly, I am no arithmetician. Numbers that speak only of numbers are of little interest to me.”

So try these….

$15; $30; $75; $100

If you thought the context was mathematical you looked for a pattern; if you thought it was about shopping you looked for a product – truth is, I took them from UNICEF and the story attached to each number is mind numbing when placed in the context of the lives that so many of us have…:

$15 – 12 packs of high-energy biscuits for starving children

$30 – antimalarial treatment for 33 kids

$75 – 128 polio shots

$100 – 357 measles vaccinations

And as you see, each number has other numbers associated with it – meaningless on their own – devastatingly powerful when coupled with a story.

I’d argue that stock markets have crashed and financial institutions crumbled because we fixated on numbers – we lost the stories behind them – and when the stories finally see the light, we ask how come we didn’t know, why weren’t we told – and I might add – why didn’t we ask….

Let me end with two great thoughts…listen:

“I’m writing a book. I’ve got the page numbers done.” Stephen Wright

Start with the story – always start with the story – it makes the numbers so much more powerful by giving them meaning and life.

And finally – from one of my favorite sources…listen:

“Since the mathematicians have invaded the theory of relativity, I do not understand it myself anymore.” Albert Einstein

And there you have it….

What do you think?

 

 

 

 

 

 

  • Had no idea where you were going with this but really like how it came out. It's the letters that hold the key to our happiness. The numbers just help us measure how close we're getting ..... The stock markets crashed because we are fixated on things that hold no real value, and it is also a reflection of the collapse ...
  • I wish there would be an equal amount of 'fixation' on punctuation in stories as there is in number ;-). You are absolutely right numbers don't build brands, just like bricks on their own cannot build a building.